The Wall Street Journal has started sending me a "free link" every evening, which is I suppose the next best thing to making the site free. Today's article reveals the fact that Michael Powell, as chairman of the Federal Communications Commission, has now been written off as a total failure in his ability to implement any of his deregulatory agenda. The story quotes a prominent investment advisor who "says he has shifted most of his company's telecom investments outside the U.S. 'The inability of the FCC to execute on major decisions has driven investors away' and makes it impossible for companies to make 'capital and customer decisions' with any competitive certainty."
This is really an astonishing development. Within a few months of his appointment as chair of the Commission, Powell -- Colin Powell's son -- had a solid working majority for anything he wanted to do. Yet, just to take one example, his proposal to lift the limits on the number of TV stations rolled through the commission but was emphatically rejected by both houses of Congress (although Tom DeLay prevented the provision from actually passing both houses in the same form), and also blocked by a court.
This raised two thoughts with me: First, can anyone think of a single mildly prominent official of the Bush administration who will emerge from this with an improved reputation, whether for competence or character? Powell, his father, everyone in the Defense, State and Justice Departments, the White House staff, Treasury, OMB, HHS, the independent agencies like the FCC -- almost every known figure I can think of in any of those offices seems to me to carry the stench of some great failure and/or act of corruption. I suppose the returned Karen Hughes might resume her record of being present at every success and absent from every disaster, but that remains to be seen. The only administration official who seems to have left with a reputation for being good at his job is former press secretary Ari Fleischer, but then, the definition of being good at his job involves successfully repeating the very same nonresponsive words again and again, no matter how many times and ways a question is asked.
Second, the article provided a lot of insight into the culture of the FCC, which is essentially a big ripe target dropped into the middle of a cluster of the best-paid lawyer-lobbyists whose job is to influence it. But the article may not have been clear enough. When the Journal reports that "Critics say Mr. Powell focused too much on a sweeping free-market agenda while not maintaining strong political alliances and neglecting the short-term consequences for influential interest groups," a reader might find that confusing. After all, the "interest groups" mentioned here are business groups, and business likes deregulation, so why wouldn't "a sweeping free-market agenda" build alliances?
What Powell didn't seem to understand, and liberal opponents of the Powell agenda also often overlook is that there is no constituency for a completely deregulatory agenda. Business never categorically favors deregulation. Every act of deregulating some market or technology, just like every act of regulating it, creates some predictable economic winners and some economic losers. They all like to preach deregulation or free markets, but their real priority is either to protect some advantage they have already gained or to ensure that the deregulatory process guarantees them some new advantage. This is the story of Enron. Powell didn't seem to understand that, while the National Association of Broadcasters had to officially support his move to allow ownership consolidation, the vast number of small broadcasters understood that they would be the losers, as the network-owned stations might enter their markets. Even within business, the constituency hurt by deregulation was larger and better able to influence members of Congress (because they are local businesses, which also happen to control your own in-district press coverage) than the handful of companies that could benefit from being allowed to own stations in 45 percent of all markets. Advocates for the consideration of the public interest in this and other decisions are much stronger than a few years ago, but Powell's failure is not just the victory of those concerned with the public interest. It is his own failure to understand private interests, blinded by ideology.
The FCC is an unusual agency. The chair is selected at the pleasure of the president, from among the members. The members' terms, as I understand it, expire sometime in the summer but they are allowed to stay until the end of the current congressional term. Apparently most of the conservative members have terms that end now, and they will be out after the election, unless Congress replaces them, which requires confirmation hearings which would allow the Democrats to take over the agenda, and so they will not be replaced. Kerry, if elected, would have the opportunity Clinton did not have to appoint a full majority of the FCC very quickly. The Powell era, which everyone involved with media policy from a public perspective was terrified of, could end very quickly, with little to show for itself.
I think I have a candidate for 'sole member of administration to emerge enhanced'. See Deconstructing the Cabinet.
Posted by: Michael Froomkin | 07/10/2004 at 01:18 PM
Around the blogosphere I often read that Howard Dean should be made secretary of health and human services. I've no doubt that he'd be excellent there. But if there are others who could do equally well in that position, I'd love to see Dean as the chair of the FCC.
Posted by: cs | 07/10/2004 at 01:25 PM
I have to wonder slightly wether the appearance of corruption matters more, or the appearance of incompetence. Especially appearances cultivated in places like political blogs, nifty as they are. Most of the public doesn't pay much attention to blogs, currently, nor to cabinet officals, so I guess that balances somewhat.
On the whole, though, I would suspect that in many cases, incompetence matters more than corruption. Especially in this administration, given the hirings of some of Iran-Contra folks, like Admiral Poindexter. Or the ties to various industry groups that, well, pretty much everyone in the administration has. Personnaly, I'd happily say that Cheney's corrupt, but it obviously hasn't mattered enough to take him out. Yet, anyway. So, I guess my main point is, does corruption matter? Not from the point of public policy, where it obviously does, but is it possible in the current political climate for corruption to matter enough in Washington to make someone lose their job? Or am I just being too cynical, based on the massive failings of this administration?
Posted by: Nate | 07/10/2004 at 02:57 PM
Powell, his father, everyone in the Defense, State and Justice Departments, the White House staff, Treasury, OMB, HHS, the independent agencies like the FCC
NSC, CIA, FBI...
Posted by: goethean | 07/10/2004 at 03:31 PM
Right on re Michael Powell. While the media concentration issue is no doubt the more important, Powell also screwed up royally on getting critical rules moving forward for competitive interconnection to local telephone networks. This is a highly arcane and controversial economic topic, but, at its heart is whether and how competitors, like AT&T and newer firms, to Verizon and other Baby Bells can provide local services, and especially bundled services, to achieve the full fruits of real competition in this industry. This process has dragged on for more than a decade and the incumbants still hold most of the market share. The FCC faced pressure from all of these interests, plus CATV, and the states and the courts have also been greatly involved, but the bottom line is that Powell, as the central actor, showed no vision beyond vapid notions of "deregulation" and left this still quite a mess, probably for judges to sort out.
Posted by: paul teske | 07/10/2004 at 04:22 PM
"First, can anyone think of a single mildly prominent official of the Bush administration who will emerge from this with an improved reputation, whether for competence or character?"
Two come to mind, though you could certainly question whether they are "moderately prominent."
First is Tim Muris, who until recently headed the FTC. By all accounts I've heard, he did a pretty good, and apolitical, job.
The second is Mark McClellan (Scott's brother) as FDA head. The FDA's job is basically to process New Drgu Approvalsefficiently while ensuring the process is as safe as possible. Under McClellan, it did so (continuing a trend of faster reviews that began in the 1990s).
Until ... McClellan got caught up in the politics of the OTC morning after pill and moved over to the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS). So his reputation took a hit in that instance, but is on balance still strong (and I'm not sure what he could have done about it -- if the president or his advisors orders the FDA head not to approve something, it seems like he has little choice but to do so or resign.) At CMS, his reputation may be in jeopardy because he's in charge of rolling out the insanely designed Medicare drug benefit. So we'll see how he comes out. After all, how do you evaluate whether someone has done a good job of implementing a bad program?
AB
Posted by: Angry Bear | 07/11/2004 at 03:18 PM
"First, can anyone think of a single mildly prominent official of the Bush administration who will emerge from this with an improved reputation, whether for competence or character?"
Anthony Principi, the secretary of Veterans
Affairs will manage to crawl out of the dung heap that is the Bush administration stench free.
Posted by: none | 07/11/2004 at 06:02 PM
Well, Condi Rice, depending on your world view.
Do political advisers count? Since on how the Presidential and Congressional elections shake out, Karl Rove will have a good reputation.
Mel Martinez probably hasn't done any harm.
Posted by: niq | 07/11/2004 at 06:46 PM
Armitage?
Posted by: praktike | 07/12/2004 at 12:37 PM
Christie Todd Whitman, EPA.
She did her job, as best she could, and got done a lot of what the Republicans wanted. Then she decided she'd had enough and got out, which makes her look good to normal people.
Posted by: Jonathan Dresner | 07/13/2004 at 03:03 AM
Mel Martinez thinks he's done well enough to run for the Senate.
Tommy Thompson, in spite of the lamest name ever, should have had a chance to come out of this well, but at the very least Scully's taint will be on him and he'll be guilty by implication in the Medicare pharma sellout. Thompson has been doing some really interesting things administratively, like investing in disease management and new contracting practices that could have been a good legacy. His biggest contribution was protecting moderate Dems working under the radar at CMS on these projects. If he'd had a competent president, he might have been able to let more good stuff happen. If he'd had a president who was willing to give him money, he may even have moved us ahead in some nonpartisan areas where Dems are willing to play (like healthcare IT).
But his legacy will be the boondoggle of the Medicare drug deal, his ineffectual bloviating during the Anthrax attack and his failures to deal with several looming crises (out of control healthcare spending, Hepatitis C, the demographic time bomb of the elderly baby boomers, etc.).
Posted by: theorajones | 08/02/2004 at 06:59 PM
In my view the health care system of a nation reflect its socio-economics and cultural standards.
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