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01/23/2004

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Matt Young

Grover is partially correct that something about government is wiping out populations, and my informal research indicates the problem is government spending.

I have found, to my satisfaction, that the bigger the proportion of an economy devoted to government, the bigger the decline in population, as measured by fertility. I accepted this premise by examining fiscal burden, as measureed by Heritage fiscal burden index, and correlated that with immigration adjusted fertility rates for Western Europe and Japan. I think it can be proven also that more also government increases the pressure for illegal immigration.

I would think that academics should look at this further, being careful to even out as many variables as possible. I certainly would be careful about advocating more government until the matter is resolved.


Where Grover is mistaken is to believe that taxes are the cause of government spending. The history of tax cuts and tax increases over the last 20 years would indicate that tax cuts are the main cause of increased government spending. I suspect, without proof, that the wealthy currently are consuming more government than they pay for. I still am looking for analysis of the uses of government, and the likely benefeciaries of these government actions. I would bet that the left can prove the case for increased taxes on the wealthy without resorting to an ideological argument.

Adam Mansfield

I know it may be a bit early to proclaim this the Freudian slip of the year, but it is going to be hard to beat.

I was driving to school this afternoon and caught the end of Talk of the Nation on NPR. Neal Conan was interviewing Norquist. Neal wraps up the call and explains that Grover is the president of ATR, "a small-minded... a small-government advocacy group."

Whoops!

Here is the audio.

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